The War Market: When Polymarket's 27.5% Odds Became a Truth Machine for U.S.-Iran Tensions
I watched the odds on Polymarket tick from 27.5% to 34% in the thirty seconds...
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CryptoVault
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2026-07-24
#bear market analysis
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Event Calendar
202622
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
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43
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28 Gwei
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3 Gwei
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42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
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0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,256.1
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,863.92
1
Solana
SOL
$73.95
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$565.5
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.09
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0693
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1638
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.25
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8067
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.36
🐋 Whale Tracker
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12h ago
In
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🔵
0x8814...7867
12m ago
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🟢
0x90ab...a148
30m ago
In
3,609 ETH
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0xa7f5...fb0f
Arbitrage Bot
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70%